Here are some important probabilities in Omaha that returns in different situations. Knowledge about probabilities will help you to better evaluate situations in poker. You will , for example, know when you should call and when you shouldn't, and, vice versa, know when to fold and when the odds are in your favor.
Drawing hands probabilities | Odds | Percent |
---|---|---|
Double wraparound straight draw (e.g. hand: 9-8-5-4, flop: 7-6-x) | 0.48-1 | 68% |
Wraparound straight draw (e.g. hand: 8-5-4-x, flop: 7-6-x) | 0.67-1 | 60% |
Straight flush draw | 0.84-1 | 54% |
Hitting a full house with three pairs | 3-1 | 24% |
Hitting a full house with two pairs | 5.1-1 | 16.5% |
Hitting quads with a set | 21.5-1 | 4.5% |
There are many starting hands in Omaha (16.432 if not all suit combinations are counted), which makes it difficult to get an overview. Table 2 will hopefully increase that overview a bit.
Median Hand in Five Card Stud. The median five-card stud poker hand is ace,king,queen,jack,6. Probabilities in Two-Player Texas Hold 'Em. For this topic, please see my separate page on probabilities in Two-Player Texas Hold 'Em. Median Hand in Texas Hold 'Em. The following table shows the median hand in Texas Hold 'Em by the number of players.
Situation | Percent |
---|---|
A-A-K-K double suited to win against average hand | 73% |
A-A-K-K rainbow to win against average hand | 68% |
A-A-7-7 double suited to win against average hand | 72% |
A-A-7-7 rainbow to win against average hand | 67% |
A-A-J-T double suited to win against average hand | 76% |
A-A-J-T rainbow to win against average hand | 71% |
J-T-9-8 double suited to win against average hand | 56% |
J-T-9-8 rainbow to win against average hand | 49% |
Exemple of a double suited hand: Q♥ A♥ 2♦ K♦
Exemple of a rainbow hand: Q♥ A♣ 2♠ K♦
The best Omaha hands are less bigger favorites against an average hand compared to Texas Hold'em.
In Texas Hold'em, common knowledge is that A-A is very big favorite against all other hands. In Omaha, A-A as a part of a hand is far from that strong. In general, an A-A-x-x hand versus a random four-card hand is a 70-30 favorite in average (if all the starting hands that are normally folded are excluded, the A-A-x-x hands will be even less favorites).
A typical feature in an Omaha Hi game is a set against a hand with several drawing possibilities. The made hand will not be a very big favorite (sometimes it is an underdog), so the recommended strategy is to play fast and bet/raise the pot in these situations.
Situation | Percent |
---|---|
Top set against flush draw | 70%-30% |
Middle set against flush draw | 70%-30% |
Top set against flush draw + two pairs | 68%-32% |
Set against wraparound straight draw | 52%-48% |
Set against double wraparound straight draw | 53%-47% |
Factors that can affect the odds are for example blocking cards.
In Omaha, hands with flush draws are often more likely to win than straight draws.
Situation | Percent |
---|---|
Flush draw against wraparound | 60%-40% |
Flush draw against double wraparound | 55%-45% |
Since that many cards are in action, there are often combined possibilities, which makes it hard to give general percentages. A hand with a flush draw has mostly something else, like a pair or a straight draw as well.
Related article:Omaha strategy